周彩凤 | 中国与“一带一路”南亚国家地缘经济联系的贸易效应研究

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引用本文:周彩凤.中国与“一带一路”南亚国家地缘经济联系的贸易效应研究[J].科技与产业,2025,25(11):365-370
作者信息:

周彩凤西藏大学经济与管理学院，拉萨 850000

摘要:

中国与南亚地缘经济联系对其贸易发展具有重要意义。运用贸易引力模型，选取2000—2022年中国与5个南亚国家的贸易数据，分析其地缘经济联系的贸易效应。回归结果表明，中国与南亚国家的地缘经济联系会对中国与南亚国家的贸易带来抑制效应，而国内生产总值、地理距离、通电基础设施、政治稳定性、政府效率和法治环境会对中国与南亚国家的贸易带来促进效应。因此，未来中国应在“一带一路”倡议的基础上，调整对南亚国家进出口商品结构，优化基础设施建设，推动经济发展，提升国民收入水平，提供政策支持，加强与南亚国家的地缘经济合作与贸易往来，对于深化中国与南亚国家贸易合作，促进区域联系与发展具有重要意义。

关键词:

地缘经济联系; 贸易效应; 一带一路; 南亚国家

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Research on Trade Effect of Geo-economic Ties among China and the "Belt and Road" South Asian Countries

Abstract:

The geo-economic relationship between China and South Asia is of great significance to its trade development. Using the trade gravity model, the trade data between China and five countries from 2000 to 2022 was selected to analyzes the trade effects of their geo-economic ties. The regression results show that the geo-economic ties between China and South Asian countries have a restraining effect on China's trade with South Asian countries, while the GDP, geographical distance, electric infrastructure, political stability, government efficiency and rule of law environment have a promoting effect on China's trade with South Asian countries. Therefore, in the future, on the basis of the "Belt and Road" initiative, China should adjust the structure of import and export commodities to South Asian countries, optimize infrastructure construction, promote economic development, improve national income level, provide policy support, strengthen geo-economic cooperation and trade with South Asian countries, and deepen trade cooperation between China and South Asian countries. It is of great significance to promote regional linkages and development.

Key words:

geo-economic ties; trade effect; the Belt and Road; South Asian Countries



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中国技术经济学会《科技和产业》编辑部
2025年7月9日

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